Tony Blair
and Iraq





 

 

 

 

 


Spartacus, USA History, British History, Second World War, First World War, Germany,
Cold War, Soviet Union, Poland, Czechoslovakia, Hungary
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People often look back in history for help when they are trying to make sense of current problems. In recent weeks politicians have been comparing the situation in Iraq with other events in history. Important figures in the unfolding drama have been compared to past political leaders. Saddam Hussein has been described as a new Adolf Hitler and Tony Blair has been portrayed as acting like Winston Churchill.

(1) In this activity you are going to be given the chance to compare Tony Blair with figures from the past. Read the material and follow the links. Then explain if you think Tony Blair is more like Winston Churchill, Anthony Eden or Ramsay MacDonald.

(2) Use the Internet to write a biography of Tony Blair. Is there any other character in history that Tony Blair resembles?

Iraq

Saddam Hussein

Ba'ath Party

 

Tony Blair as Winston Churchill

In the 1930s Winston Churchill constantly complained about the behaviour of Adolf Hitler, the leader of Germany. He argued that it was necessary for the rest of the world to join together to remove Hitler from power. Some politicians believe that Saddam Hussein is as bad as Adolf Hitler. Therefore, by trying to persuade the rest of the world to join with him to remove Saddam Hussein, Tony Blair is acting like Winston Churchill in 1939.

arguments for:

Saddam Hussein is like Adolf Hitler because he has invaded neighbouring countries, gassed his political enemies and tortured his own people.

Tony Blair, like Winston Churchill, is trying to form an international coalition against a dangerous tyrant.

arguments against:

Adolf Hitler posed a far greater threat to the world than Saddam Hussein. In his book, Mein Kamp, published in 1925, he argued "The external security of a people in largely determined by the size of its territory." If he won power Hitler promised to occupy neighbouring land so that would provide protection and lebensraum (living space) for the German people. Once he gained power Hitler he moved his armed forces across international borders three times in three years: Rhineland (March 1936), Austria (March, 1938) and Czechoslovakia (October, 1938).

Saddam Hussein does not pose the same military threat as Adolf Hitler. In 1938 Germany had one of the most powerful armed forces in the world. Iraq armed forces are very poor and had great difficulty defeating its neighbour Iran in the war fought between 1980 and 1988.

Websites

Winston Churchill

Adolf Hitler

Mein Kampf

Rhineland

Anschluss

Czechoslovakia

Lebensraum

Poland

 

Tony Blair as Anthony Eden

On 26th July 1956 President Gamal Abdel Nasser announced he intended to nationalize the Suez Canal. Anthony Eden, the British prime minister, feared that Nasser intended to form an Arab Alliance that would cut off oil supplies to the rest of the world. Secret negotiations took place between Britain, France and Israel and it was agreed to make a joint attack on Egypt. It is therefore argued that by trying to overthrow Saddam Hussein, Tony Blair is attempting to maintain oil supplies to the rest of the world.

arguments for:

Iraq has the second largest oil reserves in the world.

Saddam Hussein, like Gamal Abdel Nasser, realizes that the industrialized world needs that oil. Anthony Eden, like Tony Blair, believed that the best way to stop the cutting of oil supplies was by taking pre-emptive action. That the occupation of Iraq will enable Britain and its allies to take control of the country's oil. Anthony Eden, like Tony Blair, also claimed that the attack was an attempt to remove a dangerous dictator.

Arguments against:

Tony Blair is attempting to persuade the United Nations to support his attack on Iraq. Anthony Eden took action without consulting the United Nations.

Gamal Abdel Nasser took control of the Suez Canal but that was located in his own country. He did not plan to use weapons of mass destruction against the rest of the world.

Websites

Gamal Abdel Nasser

Anthony Eden

Suez Canal

Egypt

Israel

United Nations

John Foster Dulles

Dwight Eisenhower

 

Tony Blair as Ramsay MacDonald

In 1929 Ramsay MacDonald and the Labour Party won the 1929 General Election. The election coincided with an economic depression and MacDonald was faced with the problem of growing unemployment. MacDonald asked Sir George May, to form a committee to look into Britain's economic problems. When the May Committee produced its report in July, 1931, it suggested that the government should reduce its expenditure by £97,000,000, including a £67,000,000 cut in unemployment benefits. MacDonald, and his Chancellor of the Exchequer, Philip Snowden, accepted the report but when the matter was discussed by the Cabinet, the majority voted against the measures suggested by Sir George May. As he did not have the support of his party, MacDonald formed a coalition government that included Conservative and Liberal leaders.

Arguments for:

Ramsay MacDonald lost the support of his own party and had to rely on the votes of Conservative MPs to retain power. Tony Blair is currently having to rely on the support of the Conservative Party to win motions debated in the House of Commons on the Iraq Crisis.

Arguments against:

Ramsay MacDonald lost the support of his own party in the House of Commons but a large number of people in the country agreed with him. In the General Election held in 1931 a total of 556 pro-National Government MPs won seats in the House of Commons, whereas only 46 Labour candidates were elected. All the opinion polls suggest that the British public do not support Tony Blair's policy on the Iraq Crisis

Websites

James Ramsay MacDonald

1929 General Election

Philip Snowden

Jimmy Thomas

1931 General Election

 

SchoolHistory Quiz on Iraq

 




(1) Melanie Phillips, Daily Mail (29th July, 2002)

The lazy haze of summer may finally have descended, but in the distance the drumbeat of war grows ever more insistent.

According to weekend reports, Tony Blair has told President George Bush that Britain will support a war against Iraq, while British military planners are preparing for hostilities that might start sooner than has been thought.

Such action might split not just the Labour party but Britain itself down the middle. For a rampant and ugly anti-Americanism is being allowed to make the British political weather.

This prejudice can only be countered if Blair does what he has so far been reluctant to do and properly makes the case for war to Parliament. For it is Parliament where the national consensus is forged.

Real concerns are being expressed about action against Iraq, which the Prime Minister must lay to rest. For these claims are all eminently implausible, wrong and defeatable.

Take the argument mounted by the new Archbishop of Canterbury, Rowan Williams, that war against Iraq is morally permissible only if backed by the UN. At best, this assertion is dangerously naïve; at worst, morally blind.

On December 3 1982, a UN resolution which was opposed by the US and the UK but supported by a number of European countries proclaimed the legitimacy of resistance against foreign occupations ‘by all available means including armed struggle’ – a euphemism for terrorism.

The UN’s human rights commission consists of some of the most flagrant abusers of human rights in the world: Cuba, Libya, Saudi Arabia, Sudan and Syria. Syria, indeed, is now a member of the UN security council, an incredible development considering that Syria is a principal state sponsor of terrorism.

The UN has deplored the fact that Islam is frequently and wrongly associated with human rights abuses and terrorism. It has not deplored the worldwide assaults on synagogues, Jewish cemeteries and Jewish individuals overwhelmingly promulgated by Muslims.

It has not deplored the torrent of anti-Jewish hatred and medieval blood libels pouring out of Muslim countries, and their incitement to mass murder against Israelis and Jews. Instead, it has repeatedly castigated Israel for seeking to defend itself against terror, and sponsored, moreover, the obscene ‘anti-racist’ Durban conference which turned into a disgusting carnival of anti-Jewish vilification.

 

(2) Robert Kagan, Washington Post (31st January, 2003)

To appreciate fully the unparalleled political and moral courage of Tony Blair, Jose Maria Aznar and the other six European leaders who called for solidarity with the United States in a statement published in yesterday's Wall Street Journal, you really have to live in Europe and feel the mood out here. Never mind that Blair, Aznar, Silvio Berlusconi, et al. planted themselves at the side of President Bush in the coming confrontation with Iraq - at a time when polls in Britain, Spain, Italy and elsewhere around Europe show opposition to American policy running at 70 percent or higher. And never mind that they insisted America's war on terrorism must be Europe's war, too - at a time when, as EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana recently conceded, most Europeans do not feel the slightest bit threatened by international terrorism and, indeed, fear Bush more than they fear Osama bin Laden.

This was nothing compared with the unabashed pro-Americanism of their declaration. The eight European leaders actually wrote of "American bravery, generosity and farsightedness" in setting Europe free from Nazism and communism in the last century and in keeping the peace in Europe for the past six decades. By using the word "generosity," they even implied that Europeans might now owe the United States a little generosity in return. Such sentiments are pure heresy these days in Europe, where anti-Americanism has reached a fevered intensity. I live in Brussels, famed "capital of Europe," and have traveled across the continent over the past year, speaking with intellectuals, journalists, foreign policy analysts and government officials at the endless merry-go-round of highbrow European conferences. The settings couldn't be nicer; the food and wine couldn't be better; the conversations couldn't be more polite. And the suspicion, fear and loathing of the United States couldn't be thicker.

In Europe, this paranoid, conspiratorial anti-Americanism is not a far-left or far-right phenomenon. It's the mainstream view. When Gerhard Schroeder campaigns on an anti-American platform in Germany, he's not just "mobilizing his base" or reaching out to fringe Greens and Socialists. He's talking to the man and woman on the street, left, right and center. When Jacques Chirac and Dominique de Villepin publicly humiliate Colin Powell, they're playing to the gallery. The "European street" is more anti-American than ever before. Even in the 1960s at the height of the anti-Vietnam War protests or in the early 1980s at the height of the "nuclear freeze" movement, European anti-Americanism was always more than counterbalanced by European anti-communism. Most Europeans believed the real problem was the Red Army and Soviet totalitarianism, not Nixon or Reagan, and the United States, whatever its flaws, was defending them from those twin evils. When Helmut Kohl, Margaret Thatcher and even Francois Mitterrand stood with Reagan in the waning years of the Cold War, theirs was a courageous and vitally important but not a politically risky stand.

 

(3) Ian Kershaw, historian, The Guardian (19th February, 2003)

The foreign secretary, Jack Straw, is among those who have looked to the mistakes of the past to justify the present policy against Iraq. It would be repeating the disastrous appeasement policy of the 1930s, it is said, if we were not now to act against Saddam Hussain. But this is no more than a spin on history. The parallels are as good as non-existent.

The US was then isolationist, largely uninterested in Europe. Stalinist Russia was isolated for other reasons. Britain had to take the concerns of a world empire into account. France was petrified about the growing danger on the other side of the Rhine. The threat was indeed in the very heart of Europe, and unmistakably real. Britain's very existence was at stake. No weapons inspectors were needed to see whether Hitler was building "weapons of mass destruction". Everybody knew he was doing this illegally even before he openly announced it. He then used military might and bullying tactics to force changes to state borders within Europe. The annexation of what was left of Czechoslovakia in 1939, without any pretext of uniting ethnic Germans, finally convinced the government to take a stand, at the risk of a war they did not want.

Today, there is no self-evident threat from Iraq. There is no invasion of a sovereign territory (as in 1991) to repulse. We have to take it on trust that Saddam is building weapons of mass destruction. Even if he has them, he is unlikely to use them against Britain or America - seemingly bent on war and towing Britain in its slipstream.

 

(4) Andrew Roberts, historian, The Guardian (19th February, 2003)

This is not another Suez crisis, for the obvious and straightforward reasons that the west is not today trying to recapture anything for itself, that Egypt posed no military threat to the Nato allies in 1956 and that the British government is pursuing its ends openly through the UN, at least initially, rather than through collusion. Moreover, the people of Egypt were fully in support of Nasser, whereas the moment a US-led invasion of Iraq is successful, the full extent of the Iraqi people's fear and hatred of Saddam will immediately become evident.

No, the situation is far closer to the late 1930s, when a fascist dictator stealthily acquired weapons of mass destruction - the Luftwaffe's bombing arm - and attempted to acquire nuclear weapons, too. That totalitarian dictator later invaded his neighbour (as Saddam did), gassed his political and racial enemies (as Saddam has) and brutalized and tortured his own people (as Saddam does.) The League of Nations, on the morning after Poland was invaded, had on its urgent agenda the standardization of European railway gauges. Today's United Nations is fast shaping up to be equally ineffectual.

 

(5) Richard Evans, historian, The Guardian (19th February, 2003)

History never repeats itself, so anyone looking for parallels between the present situation and past events is likely to be disappointed. Not that there has been any shortage of such parallels drawn in the past few weeks by politicians seeking to encourage their supporters or discredit their opponents. But all of them are specious in one way or another.

It is easy enough to brand the opponents of an invasion of Iraq as "appeasers", but this is another specious parallel with the past. Britain and France did not declare war on Germany in 1939 because Hitler was maltreating his own people, but because Hitler invaded Poland, and because his invasion of Poland followed his invasion of Czechoslovakia earlier the same year. Even so, the allies did not invade Germany in 1939. Instead, it was Hitler who ended the "phoney war" in 1940 by invading France, Belgium, Holland, Denmark and Norway.

 

(6) Avi Shlaim, historian, The Guardian (19th February, 2003)

Eden thought that he was applying the lessons of the 1930s in dealing with Gamal Abdel Nasser and the result was a fiasco that brought his own career crashing down. Eden demonized Nasser, personalized the issues, and went to the length of colluding with France and Israel with the aim of knocking Nasser off his perch. The chiefs of staff had deep misgivings about the war. One senior officer exclaimed: "The prime minister has gone bananas. He has ordered us to attack Egypt!" Britain attacked Egypt without the authority of the UN and it was roundly condemned for its aggression.

 

(7) Tony Blair, interviewed by Jackie Ashley of The Guardian (February)

He doesn't want to make glib comparisons with the 1930s, but suggests that despite many obvious differences, there are some similarities.

One is that "although with hindsight the decision that this was a real threat we had to confront was obvious, at the time it wasn't so obvious".

"A majority of decent and well-meaning people said there was no need to confront Hitler and that those who did were war-mongers. When people decided not to confront fascism, they were doing the popular thing, they were doing it for good reasons, and they were good people ... but they made the wrong decision."

Hitler's appeasers, he suggests, were also saying, like today's anti-war protesters: "Well look, this is ridiculous. OK, this is a long way from us, why on earth should we be involved in it."

Yet, history had proved them wrong, and clearly, in this case too, Mr Blair believes history will judge him right.

 

(8) Kenneth Morgan, historian, The Guardian (1st March, 2003)

As a historian, I worry about the crude use of history, particularly our old friend the 1930s. Time and again we hear that this crisis is the 1930s come again - what nonsense. Saddam is not another Hitler. Where is his Mein Kampf? Where is his dream of universal conquest? George Bush is certainly no Churchill; it would be a calumny on the reputation of that great man to suggest it. It is a facile argument, and it disturbs me that Downing Street produces it, all the more because I taught one or two of them. My efforts were clearly in vain.

Tony Blair is a brave man who prides himself on being another Churchill. He must be wary of being another Ramsay MacDonald. This is said to be a listening government; one that listens to the people. They should listen - not to transatlantic ideologues but to the wisdom, humanity and decency of the British people.

 

(9) Robert Kagan, Paradise & Power: America and Europe in the New World Order (2003)

The Iraq crisis has cast transatlantic differences in an especially harsh light, but the gulf had been opening for some time. After the cold war, Europeans and Americans no longer share a common view of the world. On the all-important question of power - the utility of power, the morality of power - they have parted ways. Europeans believe they are moving beyond power into a self-contained world of laws and rules and transnational negotiation and cooperation. Europe itself has entered a post-historical paradise, the realisation of Immanuel Kant's Perpetual Peace. The US, meanwhile, remains mired in history, exercising power in the anarchic Hobbesian world where international rules are unreliable and where security and the promotion of a liberal order still depend on the possession and use of military might.

Europe's relatively pacific strategic culture is the product of its relative weakness in military terms, but it is also the product of its profound and admirable aspiration to escape its war-like past. Who knows the dangers of Machtpolitik better than a French or German or British citizen? The EU is a monument to Europe's rejection of the old power politics. As the British diplomat and senior EU official Robert Cooper has noted, Europe today lives in a "postmodern system" that does not rest on a balance of power but on "the rejection of force" and on "self-enforced rules of behaviour". Raison d'état has been "replaced by a moral consciousness". The new Europe has succeeded not by balancing power but by transcending power. And now Europeans have become evangelists for their "postmodern" gospel of international relations. The application of the European miracle to the rest of the world has become Europe's new mission civilisatrice. If Germany can be tamed through gentle rapprochement, why not Iraq?

This has put Europeans and Americans on a collision course. Americans have not lived the European miracle. They have no experience of promoting ideals and order successfully without power. Their memory of the past 60 years is of a world saved from Nazism chiefly by American power and of a cold war struggle that was eventually won by strength and determination, not by the spontaneous triumph of "moral consciousness". As good children of the Enlightenment, Americans believe in human perfectibility. But Americans from Donald Rumsfeld to Colin Powell to Madeleine Albright also believe that global security and a liberal order depend on the US - that "indispensable nation" - wielding its power in the dangerous, Hobbesian world that still flourishes, at least outside Europe. Especially after September 11, most Americans remember Munich, not Maastricht.

Can the gap be bridged or at least narrowed? Tony Blair has long believed it can, and he is probably the only person on either side of the Atlantic with a strategy for bringing the one-time transatlantic partners back on to common ground.

The theoretical basis for Blair's approach to Europe has been set forth most powerfully by Robert Cooper, once a top official in the Foreign Office. A year ago, Cooper wrote that although "within the postmodern world [ie, today's Europe], there are no security threats in the traditional sense," nevertheless, throughout the rest of the world - what Cooper calls the "modern and pre-modern zones" - threats abound.

If the postmodern world does not protect itself, it can be destroyed. But how does Europe protect itself without discarding the very ideals and principles that undergird its pacific system? "The challenge to the postmodern world," Cooper has argued, "is to get used to the idea of double standards." Among themselves, Europeans may "operate on the basis of laws and open cooperative security." But when dealing with the world outside Europe, "we need to revert to the rougher methods of an earlier era - force, preemptive attack, deception, whatever is necessary". This is Cooper's principle for safeguarding society: "Among ourselves, we keep the law, but when operating in the jungle, we must also use the laws of the jungle."

Cooper's notion of an international double standard for power would seem to lie at the heart of Blair's global strategy. On the one hand, he has tried to lead Britain into the rule-based, Kantian world of the EU. And he has pursed the European interest in trying to convince the US, which stands outside that Kantian world, to respect its norms. But Blair has also tried to lead Europe back out into the Hobbesian world, where military power remains a key feature of international relations.

 

(10) David Boll, The Guardian (3rd March, 2003)

When it is pointed out that Tony Blair won the commons vote on Iraq, it is worth remembering that Chamberlain won the vote in May 1940 in consequence of which he resigned as prime minister, making way for Churchill. In a vote, a prime minister can call upon the constitutionally established loyalty of those who hold office under him, as well as that of normal party members. What he cannot legitimately do is lead a deeply divided Commons and country in war, as Chamberlain knew perfectly well.

 

(11) Judy Dawson, The Guardian (3rd March, 2003)

While I agree with Kenneth O Morgan's disapproval of the Bush world view, and share his concerns about civilian deaths in a war with Iraq, I think it's unfair to insinuate that Blair is merely spinning: the PM clearly believes passionately in the moral position of his case.

I would also question Morgan's own "crude use of history" to support his position. The analogy that can be made is not with September 1939 but September 1938, when Chamberlain accepted Mussolini's tempting suggestion to prevent war by agreeing to the Munich conference, and returned home to popular acclaim after betraying Czechoslovakia. Like Hitler, Saddam is a tyrant - he has already killed over a million.

International relations are a messy business, motives often mixed, bed-fellows often strange. Had there been no build-up of force, would inspectors be in Iraq now? There are sound moral arguments on both sides. But Blair was right over Kosovo, Sierre Leone and ousting the Taliban: I'm inclined to trust him on Iraq too.

 

(12) Dr. Andrew Newby, The Guardian (3rd March, 2003)

He may be displaying increasing signs of megalomania, but Tony Blair showed that he far from stupid in his comment that "history will be my judge". It is also, however, far from a brave statement. It may be a cliché that "history is written by the winners", but it is nonetheless accurate - witness how few critical accounts of recent campaigns (Afghanistan, Kosovo, Iraq) are allowed to penetrate the public consciousness. Those who do deconstruct the official versions of events, Chomsky, Pilger and the like, are usually treated with suspicion, or downright hostility. Given that the prevailing images of leaders such as Cromwell and Churchill are overwhelmingly positive even to this day, Blair can be sure that there will be enough historians ready to back him up, either through ideology or a desire for a knighthood, to ensure that Judge History passes a favourable verdict.

 

(13) Roger Squires, The Guardian (3rd March, 2003)

Our prime minister thinks he is Churchill, bravely lining up with the Republican gang that has hijacked the world's only superpower to make pre-emptive strikes on Iraq. Most of us see in Blair rather the misguided resolve of an Anthony Eden determined to sort out a rogue Arab state in a coalition of the willing (Israelis and French, as it happened). If he wishes to be Churchillian, he should rather defy that aggressive power whose subversion of democracy and respect for international institutions has indeed some resemblance to that of Hitler.

 

(14) Alan Dockree, The Guardian (3rd March, 2003)

History will be a poor judge of Tony Blair's action because it will show at most only half the story, probably less. We shall probably never know how many Iraqis are killed, injured, bereaved or made homeless. We shall definitely never know what would have happened if we had not gone to war. Blair's opinion is clearly that things would have been worse in the long run, but that will never be proved right. Even if they would, are we really entitled to decide that the lives of thousands of Iraqi citizens are worth sacrificing to make us feel more safe? Every one of us is entitled to decide that a cause is so important that we should sacrifice our lives for it, but who are we to make that decision on behalf of others? It's that verb again: I am firm, you are obstinate, he is expendable.

 

(15) Martin Amis, The Guardian (4th March, 2003)

Tony Blair must have known that war was inevitable more than a year ago, when Bush started talking, with vulgar levity, of "taking Saddam out". In the past Blair has been consistently tough on the Iraq question, just as France has been consistently, and venally, lenient. More generally, perhaps, he feels that British interests are better served by continuing to ride on the American elephant, even as it trumpets its emancipation from the influence of Europe; and that the total isolation of Washington would only heat Bush's internal brew of insecurity and messianism.

There are two rules of war that have not yet been invalidated by the new world order. The first rule is that the belligerent nation must be fairly sure that its actions will make things better; the second rule is that the belligerent nation must be more or less certain that its actions won't make things worse. America could perhaps claim to be satisfying the first rule (while admitting that the improvement may be only local and short term). It cannot begin to satisfy the second.

We contemplate a kaleidoscope of terrible eventualities: a WMD attack on Israel, and a WMD response (conceivably nuclear); civil war in Iraq. and elsewhere, together with all manner of humanitarian disasters; fundamentalist revolutions in Egypt and Jordan; and, ineluctably, an additional generation of terror from militant Islam. Meanwhile, common sense calmly states that an expanded version of the present arrangement (inspectors, monitors, full exposure to world opinion) is sufficient to contain and emasculate Saddam until pressure builds for a coup; and that the "war on terror" can start only with the dismantling of the settlements in the territories occupied by Israel.

 

(16) Mark Curtis, The Guardian (6th March, 2003)

From 1965-90, Britain cast 27 vetoes in the UN security council, mainly in support of the racist regimes in Rhodesia and South Africa. This was twice the number cast by the Soviet Union. Britain has always blocked the UN acting when it wants to, while pledging its undying support for it when it needs it. Tony Blair is merely the current proponent of the deceit.

 

(17) Richard Dawkins, The Guardian (6th March, 2003)

The distorting mirror of Munich and appeasement is held up with irritating regularity George Bush is said to admire Churchill, but the comparison is vain. Bush's zig-zagging around the US on September 11th 2001 has been defended, somewhat lamely, against the obvious charges of cowardice and panic. Well, maybe. But can you imagine Churchill doing it?

Turn it round. Who is the petulant bully, the "bloodthirsty guttersnipe" today? On February 16, the Observer reported that the Pentagon had been ordered by Donald Rumsfeld to impose sanctions to punish Germany for leading international opposition to a war against Iraq. "We are doing this for one reason only: to harm the German economy." Yesterday you quoted Colin Powell as warning that time is running out: "Either the international community's will has meaning or does not have meaning." One might have hoped that the will of the international community would mean whatever emerges from the deliberations of the UN. Apparently it means the unilateral will of the current US government. Most chilling of all, you report that Bush himself has warned Chirac "he will neither forgive nor forget if France continues to oppose the resolution".

Where should we look for our Chamberlain? Jack Straw warns that Washington would abandon the UN and Nato if Europe refuses to fall into line: "What I say to France and Germany and all my other EU colleagues is take care, because just as America helps to define and influence our politics, so what we do in Europe helps to define and influence American politics ... And we will reap a whirlwind if we push the Americans into a unilateralist position in which they are the centre of this unipolar world." If that is not appeasement, I'd like to know what you call it.

 

(18) Richard Perle, speech in New York on Iraq (13th February, 2003)

It is to the credit of Prime Minister Blair that despite that antiwar sentiment, he is leading in the direction that he believes is right for his country, and this president is leading the United States in the direction that he believes is right for this country. The lesson of history is if leaders don't lead and if they simply follow sentiment, terrible mistakes can be made. The sentiment in the United Kingdom before the last war was so hostile to military action that it even became hostile to military preparations and we saw the result of that. So I make no apology for the fact that public opinion is not solidly behind the thinking of the American president or the British Prime Minister, or (Prime Minister of Italy, Silvio) Berlusconi or (Prime Minister of Spain, Jose Maria) Aznar and others. There is leadership in Europe and there is a failure of leadership in Europe, if I could put it that way.

 

(19) Joint letter to The Guardian by Prof Ulf Bernitz, Dr Nicolas Espejo-Yaksic, Agnes Hurwitz, Prof Vaughan Lowe, Dr Ben Saul, Dr Katja Ziegler, Prof James Crawford, Dr Susan Marks, Dr Roger O'Keefe, Prof Christine Chinkin, Dr Gerry Simpson, Deborah Cass, Dr Matthew Craven, Prof Philippe Sands and Prof Pierre-Marie Dupuy (7th March, 2003)

The UN charter outlaws the use of force with only two exceptions: individual or collective self-defence in response to an armed attack and action authorised by the security council as a collective response to a threat to the peace, breach of the peace or act of aggression. There are currently no grounds for a claim to use such force in self-defence. The doctrine of pre-emptive self-defence against an attack that might arise at some hypothetical future time has no basis in international law. Neither security council resolution 1441 nor any prior resolution authorises the proposed use of force in the present circumstances.

Before military action can lawfully be undertaken against Iraq, the security council must have indicated its clearly expressed assent. It has not yet done so. A vetoed resolution could provide no such assent. The prime minister's assertion that in certain circumstances a veto becomes "unreasonable" and may be disregarded has no basis in international law. The UK has used its security council veto on 32 occasions since 1945. Any attempt to disregard these votes on the ground that they were "unreasonable" would have been deplored as an unacceptable infringement of the UK's right to exercise a veto under UN charter article 27.

A decision to undertake military action in Iraq without proper security council authorisation will seriously undermine the international rule of law. Of course, even with that authorisation, serious questions would remain. A lawful war is not necessarily a just, prudent or humanitarian war.

 

(20) Gary Younge, The Guardian (10th March, 2003)

He could have chosen anything. With such a huge majority and so little coherent opposition in parliament, there have been no end of issues on which Tony Blair might have taken a moral stance and shown leadership against either popular opinion or powerful vested interests over the past six years.

He might have faced down the tabloids and made a stand against the scapegoating of asylum seekers, or resisted the pressure from the markets and raised taxes to fund increased investment in public services.

But the issue on which he chose to set himself against the wishes of the country and his party has been international law; if necessary, to embark on military action to secure cheap oil supplies for the world's wealthiest nation.

It is difficult to find a nation that supports a US-led war against Iraq, and difficult to find a nation where people do not think it is inevitable. Every time we turn on the news it is like watching a juggernaut heading towards a crowded playground in slow motion. We can see the catastrophe coming, but feel powerless to stop it.

Take the "key allies" with whom Bush will bomb regardless. Only 39% of Americans, 22% of Australians, 15% of Italians and Britons, 13% of Bulgarians and 2% of Spaniards back a war without UN approval. So much for the "coalition of the willing".

 

(21) Martin Peter, Die Presse, Austrian newspaper (8th March, 2002)

Seventy-six per cent of Britons say a UN mandate is necessary. So Mr Blair's fate may be decided in the African bush next week and not in local elections in 2005. That is, if security council member Cameroon is awkward about the war plans. If Britain goes it alone with the US then many of those party members who allowed Mr blair a moderate influence on Mr Blair a moderate influence on Mr Bush will turn away from him.

Not since the protests against Margaret Thatcher's poll tax in 1988 has such indignation over prime ministerial arrogance been felt by all levels of society. Mr Blair would not be the first war victim in British history: Herbert Asquith fell during the First World War, Neville Chamberlain's appeasement of Hitler proved his undoing and Anthony Eden was defeated during the Suez Crisis.

 

(22) New York Daily News (9th March, 2003)

Mr. Blair's Britain is an ally in the truest sense of the word. Not a French ally, gone when the going gets tough. Not a Turkish ally, in for the best deal, political and economic. Britain is there for Ameriva despite the pressures, despite the political risks. Because the threat is real. President Saddam must be disarmed. And the world, whether it admits it or not, is depending on that happening. Depending on that happening. Depending on two loyal friends to make it happen.

 

(23) Rupert Murdoch owns more than 175 newspapers and magazines on three continents. He publishes 40 million newspapers a week and dominates the newspaper markets in Britain, Australia and New Zealand. In an interview published in the Sydney Daily Telegraph in March, 2003, he explained why his 175 editors around the world were backing the war with Iraq.

We can't back down now, where you hand over the whole of the Middle East to Saddam... I think Bush is acting very morally, very correctly, and I think he is going to go on with it... I think Tony (Blair) is being extraordinarily courageous and strong... It's not easy to do that living in a party which is largely composed of people who have a knee-jerk anti-Americanism and are sort of pacifist. But he's shown great guts as he did, I think, in Kosovo and various problems in the old Yugoslavia.

The greatest thing to come out of this for the world economy...would be $20 a barrel for oil. That's bigger than any tax cut in any country. Once it (the Iraq War) is behind us, the whole world will benefit from cheaper oil which will be a bigger stimulus than anything else.

 

(24) Melanie Phillips, Daily Mail (10th March. 2003)

If the Security Council fails to agree on a second UN resolution on Iraq, Mr Blair will be left dangling from the cliff by his fingertips.

This is full of irony. For Mr Blair is far closer to his rebellious comrades than might be appreciated. Like them he is a believer in the UN and in the sanctity of supranational institutions and international law. Far from tamely poodling along behind President George Bush, he has been trying to act as a bridge between the US and the appeasers of Europe.

Indeed, Mr Blair himself is largely to blame for his own entrapment at the hands of the UN, since it was he and the US Secretary of State Colin Powell who persuaded President Bush that he had to get the UN on side.

But the truth is that the UN has long been part of the problem, not the solution. It is not merely a corrupt bureaucracy that cannot even enforce its own resolutions. It has also become an accomplice to terror itself: dominated by despotic or tyrannical regimes, presiding over refugee camps that have turned into terror factories under its nose, conducting a genocidal anti-Jewish hate-fest in Durban under the obscene banner of anti-racism.

 

(25) Jimmy Carter, New York Times (9th March, 2003)

For a war to be just, it must meet several clearly defined criteria.

(1) The war can be waged only as a last resort, with all nonviolent opinions exhausted.

(2) The war's weapons must discriminate between combatants and non-combatants.

(3) Its violence must be proportional to the injury we have suffered.

(4) The attackers must have legitimate authority sanctioned by the society they profess to represent.

(5) The peace it establishes must be a clear improvement over what exists.

In the case of Iraq, it is obvious that clear alternatives to war exist. These options - previously proposed by our own leaders and approved by the UN - were outlined again by the security council on Friday. But now, with our own national security not directly threatened and despite the overwhelming opposition of most people and governments in the world, the US seems determined to carry out military and diplomatic action that is almost unprecedented in the history of civilised nations. The first stage of our widely publicised war plan is to launch 3,000 bombs and missiles on a relatively defenceless Iraq population within the first few hours of an invasion, with the purpose of so damaging and demoralising the people that they will change their obnoxious leader, who will most likely be hidden and safe during the bombardment.

 

(26) Polly Toynbee, The Guardian (12th March, 2003)

The trouble is, the louder the prime minister stresses his conviction, the more it paradoxically emphasises the weakness of his position. That crystal certainty is constantly undermined by daily reminders that his fate and the conduct of this crisis is not in his hands.

What better example than yesterday's announcement that every single contract to reconstruct Iraq will go to US companies? It shocks Europe and the world to the core that Iraqi oil will pay US companies to repair the damage done by US bombs. With Halliburton's snout deep in the trough, vice-president Cheney holding millions of its shares in his blind trust, Britain was not even considered. Downing Street was left yesterday explaining lamely that when the bidding notices went out a month ago, only US companies had US defence department security clearances to qualify. Yet again, Blair is left alone to explain to the rest of the world the gross deformities of the Bush brand of capitalism.

In this miasma of conviction, the prime minister ignores the damage done already, before a soldier's life is lost. The plunging stock markets, soaring oil price, vanished US tourists, decimation of pensions, destruction of the UN and the EU are prices too high to pay. Is it grubby to talk of money? The costs of the war are already astronomic: Britain could have built renewable wind and solar energy to make us green and self-sufficient for ever on the price it has cost us already.

 

(27) New York Daily Post (13th March, 2003)

In the spirit of Margaret Thatcher and Winston Churchill, Blair is a leader willing to speak the truth in the face of international evil, regardless of the cost.

 

(28) Correlli Barnett, The Guardian (15th March, 2003)

We must not let ourselves be deceived by Downing Street's false argument that UN resolution 1441 justifies an Anglo-American attack on Iraq without the need for a further resolution. Last October, Washington originally put forward a resolution specifying that failure by Saddam Hussein to fulfil UN demands for his disarmament should be dealt with "by all possible means" - code for automatic use of armed force. This was totally rejected by France, Russia and China. In November, after six weeks of haggling, the present resolution 1441 was passed, stating that a material breach by Iraq would entail "serious consequences" - not code for automatic war. Moreover, France, Russia and China, in accepting resolution 1441, formally stated that they did so only on the clear understanding that it did not carry with it any automatic recourse to war without a further security council decision.

Therefore, Bush and Blair's war will be contrary to resolution 1441. It will also breach the UN charter itself, which reserves decisions over peace and war to the security council except in cases of self-defence against attack. But neither America nor Britain has been attacked, or even threatened with attack, by Iraq.

Of course, the cold-eyed warmongers of Bush's Washington don't give a damn about any of this. But we might have hoped that Tony Blair would have felt some scruples about embarking on a war which will be illegal, as well as opposed by a majority of the British nation.

 

(29) Robin Cook, statement issued when he resigned as a member of Tony Blair's government on 17th March, 2003.

I have resigned from the cabinet because I believe that a fundamental principle of Labour's foreign policy has been violated. If we believe in an international community based on binding rules and institutions, we cannot simply set them aside when they produce results that are inconvenient to us.

I cannot defend a war with neither international agreement nor domestic support. I applaud the determined efforts of the prime minister and foreign secretary to secure a second resolution. Now that those attempts have ended in failure, we cannot pretend that getting a second resolution was of no importance.

In recent days France has been at the receiving end of the most vitriolic criticism. However, it is not France alone that wants more time for inspections. Germany is opposed to us. Russia is opposed to us. Indeed at no time have we signed up even the minimum majority to carry a second resolution. We delude ourselves about the degree of international hostility to military action if we imagine that it is all the fault of President Chirac.

The harsh reality is that Britain is being asked to embark on a war without agreement in any of the international bodies of which we are a leading member. Not Nato. Not the EU. And now not the security council. To end up in such diplomatic isolation is a serious reverse. Only a year ago we and the US were part of a coalition against terrorism which was wider and more diverse than I would previously have thought possible. History will be astonished at the diplomatic miscalculations that led so quickly to the disintegration of that powerful coalition.

Britain is not a superpower. Our interests are best protected, not by unilateral action, but by multilateral agreement and a world order governed by rules. Yet tonight the international partnerships most important to us are weakened. The European Union is divided. The security council is in stalemate. Those are heavy casualties of war without a single shot yet being fired.

The threshold for war should always be high. None of us can predict the death toll of civilians in the forthcoming bombardment of Iraq. But the US warning of a bombing campaign that will "shock and awe" makes it likely that casualties will be numbered at the very least in the thousands. Iraq's military strength is now less than half its size at the time of the last Gulf war. Ironically, it is only because Iraq's military forces are so weak that we can even contemplate invasion. And some claim his forces are so weak, so demoralised and so badly equipped that the war will be over in days.

We cannot base our military strategy on the basis that Saddam is weak and at the same time justify pre-emptive action on the claim that he is a seri ous threat. Iraq probably has no weapons of mass destruction in the commonly understood sense of that term - namely, a credible device capable of being delivered against strategic city targets. It probably does still have biological toxins and battlefield chemical munitions. But it has had them since the 1980s when the US sold Saddam the anthrax agents and the then British government built his chemical and munitions factories.

Why is it now so urgent that we should take military action to disarm a military capacity that has been there for 20 years and which we helped to create? And why is it necessary to resort to war this week while Saddam's ambition to complete his weapons programme is frustrated by the presence of UN inspectors?

I have heard it said that Iraq has had not months but 12 years in which to disarm, and our patience is exhausted. Yet it is over 30 years since resolution 242 called on Israel to withdraw from the occupied territories.

We do not express the same impatience with the persis tent refusal of Israel to comply. What has come to trouble me most over past weeks is the suspicion that if the hanging chads in Florida had gone the other way and Al Gore had been elected, we would not now be about to commit British troops to action in Iraq.

I believe the prevailing mood of the British public is sound. They do not doubt that Saddam Hussein is a brutal dictator. But they are not persuaded he is a clear and present danger to Britain. They want the inspections to be given a chance. And they are suspicious that they are being pushed hurriedly into conflict by a US administration with an agenda of its own. Above all, they are uneasy at Britain taking part in a military adventure without a broader international coalition and against the hostility of many of our traditional allies. It has been a favourite theme of commentators that the House of Commons has lost its central role in British politics. Nothing could better demonstrate that they are wrong than for parliament to stop the commitment of British troops to a war that has neither international authority nor domestic support.

 

(30) Bill Clinton, The Guardian (18th March, 2003)

The veto threat did not help the diplomacy. It's too bad, because if a majority of the security council had adopted the Blair approach, Saddam would have had no room for further evasion and he still might have disarmed without invasion and bloodshed. Now, it appears that force will be used to disarm and depose him.

A s Blair has said, in war there will be civilian was well as military casualties. There is, too, as both Britain and America agree, some risk of Saddam using or transferring his weapons to terrorists. There is as well the possibility that more angry young Muslims can be recruited to terrorism. But if we leave Iraq with chemical and biological weapons, after 12 years of defiance, there is a considerable risk that one day these weapons will fall into the wrong hands and put many more lives at risk than will be lost in overthrowing Saddam.

I wish that Russia and France had supported Blair's resolution. Then, Hans Blix and his inspectors would have been given more time and supprt for their work. But that's not where we are. Blair is in a position not of his own making, because Iraq and other nations were unwilling to follow the logic of 1441.

In the post-cold war world, America and Britain have been in tough positions before: in 1998, when others wanted to lift sanctions on Iraq and we said no; in 1999 when we went into Kosovo to stop ethnic cleansing. In each case, there were voices of dissent. But the British-American partnership and the progress of the world were preserved. Now in another difficult spot, Blair will have to do what he believes to be right. I trust him to do that and hope the British people will too.

 

(31) Sami Ramadani, a political exile from Iraq, The Guardian (18th March, 2003)

My wife, who is Kurdish from Sulaimaniyah, fled Iraqi Kurdistan in the mid-1980s, risking her life in the process. I am also an exile and cannot go back to Iraq because of my resistance to Saddam's tyranny.

The Iraqi people need it much more than Bush and Blair could ever understand. But democracy for Iraq will not be achieved by bombing and invading the country. It cannot be trusted to George Bush. The US will not accept a democratic verdict which is not to its liking in a strategically important country, possessing the world's second largest oil reserves. They strangled just such a verdict in Congo in the 1960s and in Chile in the 1970s, and they are working hard to reverse it in Venezuela today.

In Iraq, the US record speaks for itself: it backed Saddam's party, the Ba'ath, to capture power in 1963, murdering thousands of socialists, communists and democrats of all shades; it backed the Ba'ath party in 1968 when Saddam was installed as vice-president; it helped him and the Shah of Iran in 1975 to crush the Kurdish nationalist movement; it increased its support for Saddam in 1979, the year he elevated himself to president, helping him launch his war of aggression against Iran in 1980; it backed him throughout the horrific eight years of war (1980 to 1988), in which a million Iranians and Iraqis were slaughtered, in the full knowledge that he was using chemical weapons and gassing Kurds and Marsh Arabs; it encouraged him in 1990 to invade Kuwait when the Arabic-speaking US ambassador in Baghdad, April Glaspie, told him on July 25 1990 that the US had "no opinion on Arab-Arab conflicts" when she knew that Saddam's forces were only one week away from invading; it backed him in 1991 when Bush suddenly stopped the war, exactly 24 hours after the start of the great March uprising that engulfed the south and Iraqi Kurdistan (US aircraft were flying over the scenes of mass killing as Iraqi helicopter gunships were aiding Saddam's forces crush the uprising); and it backed him as the "lesser evil" from March 1991 to September 11 2001 under the umbrella of murderous sanctions and the policy of "containment".

Then, having caused the death of about half a million Iraqis, mostly children, through sanctions, Bush and Blair declare that containment and sanctions are not working after all. Blair must reconcile his strongly and suddenly found conviction that war is better than containment with the fact that the US hawks, now prominent in the Bush administration, have been advocating a war on Iraq for the past 12 years - not to liberate the Iraqi people, or to protect the world from weapons of mass destruction, but to impose US hegemony on a strategically important country. September 11 gave them their opportunity. Blair's "sincerity", and his sympathy for the Iraqi people are, alas, nothing but grist to Rumsfeld's mills of war.

If allowed to run its course, the Blix programme of inspections would have emboldened the Iraqi people to challenge Saddam's regime in the knowledge that Saddam would not be using chemical weapons to crush future uprisings. This would have been particularly likely if the inspections and monitoring regime had been combined with strict military and diplomatic sanctions, while lifting the economic sanctions, which have not only caused so much death and pain for the people but also strengthened Saddam's hand against them. If all this had been coupled with an international campaign to aid the Iraqi people to remove Saddam and establish democracy, we are confident that they would have succeeded; their past heroic struggles were always hampered by US, wider western and Soviet backing for Saddam's regime.

The acceleration of war plans coincided with Blix's announcement of active Iraqi cooperation and his demands for a few months to complete his work. The US administration was clearly panicked by the prospect of a peaceful disarmament of Saddam. They are fearful of the prospect of seeing the Iraqi people taking on the tyrant and his dictatorial state.

Much is made of Tony Blair's courage. We are told that he is being brave in his deafness to majority opinion in Britain and the world. The truth is that he is mesmerised by US power, convinced he will be on the side of the victors and bask in the glory of their might once they raise the US flag in Baghdad, that beloved city of my childhood. But Blair's glory, even if it comes to pass, will be short-lived.

 

(32) David Clark, The Guardian (11th April, 2003)

Those who have promised to transform Iraq into Switzer land-on-the-Euphrates seem to forget that Saddam was a product of his country's violent and bloody past, not its cause. Of all the analogies that have been offered to explain what might lie ahead, it is the example of the Lebanon that must therefore strike greatest fear into the hearts of British and American policy makers. The spate of suicide bombings provides one indication that the coalition's victory might give way to the same explosive cocktail of political factionalism, religious extremism and foreign occupation that resulted in hundreds of American deaths and a hasty withdrawal from Beirut 20 years ago.

The repercussions of this war will not be confined within Iraq's borders. The idea of an international community based on multilateral rules and institutions lies in ruins as the prospect of a world dominated by the hegemonic preferences of a solitary power hoves into view. The real tragedy will not lie in the imposition of American authority on an unwilling world as much as in the embittered response of those who refuse to submit to it.

The Arab world has been inflamed by this war and will draw the conclusion that since American power cannot be confronted on its own terms, it must be dealt with asymmetrically. Like the young Catholics who signed up to fight for the IRA after Bloody Sunday, young men from Cairo to Amman will now beat a path to the door of anyone able to provide them with the means to hit back. As of today, that door is Osama bin Laden's. The dividing line between Arab nationalism and Islamic fundamentalism, once so clear, has become even more dangerously blurred as a result of our actions.

 

(33) Editorial in the Al-Quds newspaper (10th April, 2003)

With the fall of the capital of Arab capitals, the hopes the (Palestinian) nation pinned on Baghdad's steadfastness and fight against the aggressors have been shattered ... The fall of Baghdad is a catastrophe, but it will not be the last one. The Anglo-American victory will encourage the colonialists to swallow more Arab capitals and shape the Arab world politically, culturally and socially in a way that satisfies Washington and London. They will thus manipulate Arab and Islamic culture into a distorted image of the west's materialist culture.

 

(34) Ahmad Hamadah Al-Thawrah, speech in Syria (10th April, 2003)

This is a turning point in the lives of the Iraqi people. The invading forces are encouraging anarchy in the cities, villages and farms ... What kind of freedom is this, in the midst of the chaos, damage and destruction that surrounds the Iraqi people? What kind of democracy is it that tries to destroy the future of the Iraqi people?... What kind of liberation is it, when the new curriculum that the US has prepared for the children of Iraq omits everything that points to pan-Arab feelings?"

 

(35) William Shawcross, Wall Street Journal (10th April, 2003)

April 9 - Liberation Day! What a wonderful, magnificent, emotional occasion - one that will live in legend ... Once again the US, together with the British, thank goodness, has shown itself to be on the side of freedom. All those smart Europeans who ridiculed George Bush and denigrated his idea that there was actually a better future for the Iraqi people - they will have to think again...

"What this whole Iraq story shows is how extraordinarily selfish and inward looking the EU has become ... The much derided 'neocons' in Washington have been shown to be far more correct than all the sneering sophisticates of the EU."

 

(36) Editorial in the Daily Telegraph (10th April, 2003)

Tony Blair ... has restored Britain's standing in the world to a position that it has not held since the Berlin wall came down, and he has won the right, which should be denied to all other major European leaders except for Jose Maria Aznar of Spain, to help create the new world order that George Bush Sr promised, but that George Bush Jr is delivering.

In the past month, Britain has proved its political and military independence, its global reach and its capacity for decisive action. These are huge benefits, not to be squandered on 'multilateralism' and assuaging the hurt feelings of the EU and the UN."

 

(37) Editorial in Pravda (10th April, 2003)

Although there are celebrations on some streets, albeit by limited numbers of people, there were other, legal ways to bring about this change ... Mr Bush and Mr Blair should go down in history as the duo that flouted the norms of international law, setting in action a process in which civilians were murdered by their armed forces. This has not been a heroic military campaign, it has been a massacre, the school bully picking on the weakest boy and setting upon him with a viciousness ... as horrific as the savaging of a poodle puppy by a pack of famished and enraged rottweilers.

 

(38) Fawzi Ibrahim, The Guardian (11th April 2003)

The celebrations in areas of Baghdad at the toppling of Saddam's regime is a pale shadow of the jubilation that greeted the fall of another tyrannical - and British backed - regime in Iraq in 1958. Not only hundred of thousands of Baghdadis took to the streets, but there was no looting, no shouts of Allah Akbar and no religious gestures of breast beating made potent by the followers of Osama bin Laden. These are very ominous signs that bode ill for the future of Iraq.

If the Shi'as in the east of Baghdad consider Saddam to be the enemy of God, the mind boggles at what they think of the infidel invading army.

Declaring that the US army cannot keep law and order in the city was an open encouragement for widespread looting to take place. It is not that the US armed forces cannot ensure law and order. It is a deliberate policy to create lawlessness and mayhem. It will remind the population of Baghdad of the Farhud in June 1941, when the return of the the British-backed Regent who was to replace a Nazi group that took power in Baghdad for a short period of time, was delayed by three days during which there was no government and no one was in control.

The word Farhud denotes the breakdown of law and order, where life and property are in peril. A frenzy of looting and murder by fascist gangs ensued mainly against the Jewish community in Baghdad.

 

(39) Joe Conason, The Guardian (14th April 2003)

It doesn't denigrate Blair to note that the analogies to Churchill sound slightly overblown, like the hyped comparisons of Saddam Hussein with Hitler. Terrible as the Iraqi dictator has been, he didn't storm across a continent, and his decrepit army wasn't the Wehrmacht. Nevertheless, to American conservatives who still revere Churchill as the stalwart icon of the second world war and the cold war, Blair's unhesitating toughness in the war on terrorism was inspirational. For anyone convinced that the US is called to defend the values of western civilisation in a worldwide conflict, the Anglo-American alliance carries an almost anthemic resonance.

Americans longing for an echo of Churchill also heard it in Blair's lonely and rather defiant appeals to his divided cabinet, his furious party, his reluctant fellow Britons and Europeans. In ways that Bush never could, he provided a high-minded tone to the drive for war. While the president and his advisers have displayed an unseemly eagerness to manipulate public fears for political gain, especially during the midterm elections last autumn, the prime minister appeared ready to sacrifice his career for moral principle.


 

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